Saturday, May 09, 2009

[education destroyed 2] the issue of research


This [shorter] article is the continuation on the educational post here and abridges the work of:

Stone, J. E. & Clements, A. (1998), Research and innovation: Let the buyer beware, in Robert R. Spillane & Paul Regnier (Eds.), The superintendent of the future (pp.59-97), Gaithersburg, MD: Aspen Publishers, via J. E. Stone and Andrea Clements, East Tennessee State University

Quantitative versus Qualitative Research

Quantitative research includes both descriptive and explanatory studies. Descriptive studies are concerned only with establishing the existence of a phenomenon of interest--student achievement, for example. How much of it exists, where it exists, and what kinds of it exist are typical descriptive hypotheses. Explanatory studies are concerned with the causes of a phenomenon of interest.

For example, does the use of Direct Instruction improve achievement? Technically stated, explanatory studies are concerned with the discovery of functional relationships (i.e., relationships in which the state of a given phenomenon is said to be a function of a preceding event or condition).

Less technically, explanatory studies are concerned with whether a given effect is the result of a particular cause. Causal relationships are examined in experiments and experiment-like studies called quasi-experiments. More is said about experiments below.

Descriptive studies address a wide range of topics. For example, a report of average test scores for students at different schools would be descriptive. So would a study of the number of words comprising recognition vocabulary of children at succeeding ages. Descriptive studies include a number of subtypes.

For example, studies of characteristics such as preferred types of play or ability to perform certain intellectual tasks may entail observation of fresh samples of children at successive chronological age levels. Such studies are called "cross-sectional" descriptive research. Studies that examine the same characteristics but observe the same individual children over a period of years are called "longitudinal."

Quantitative descriptive studies also include reports of correlational relationships between variables. An example of a correlational study would be one that describes the degree of relationship between family socioeconomic status and school achievement. Another example is hyperactivity's relationship to junk food consumption. Correlational studies are among those most frequently misinterpreted by users of educational research.

Despite its current unpopularity among educators, there is a great deal of high-quality quantitative research in education. It includes disquieting descriptive findings such as falling SAT scores and reports of low math and science achievement and similarly disquieting experimental results such as those of the Follow Through project. In the opinion of the authors, quantitative research's unpopularity may well be related to its disagreeable results. Findings that affirm orthodoxy are clearly more popular.

Qualitative research in education is a growth industry. It is a type of research long used in fields such as cultural anthropology. Qualitative research relies on written description instead of objective measurement, and its findings are subject to all the vagaries associated with written descriptions of any kind. Rather than attempting to affirm hypotheses and make generalizations that are grounded on an agreed-upon objective framework, qualitative research is more concerned with description as subjectively perceived by an observer in context.

Such descriptions are thought to be more honest and realistic than descriptions that purport to be objective and at arm's length. It is a form of research premised on a postmodern, multiculturalist view of science. It argues that the objective understanding to which traditional science aspires is nothing more than an arbitrary Western convention--one educators should be free to reject.

By avoiding a focus on particular variables of interest, qualitative research presumably avoids the imposition of cultural bias. Of course such a process ignores the very information typically sought by the consumer. For example, a teacher's question about whether one teaching method produces greater achievement than another would not be answered by a qualitative study. Qualitative studies do not "prove" or "disprove" anything. They can only describe. The validity of such studies is simply an open question (Krathwohl, 1993).

The vagueness of the methods used in qualitative studies invites observer bias. Observers are necessarily selective in their observations. For example, an observer who dislikes the punishment seen in a classroom may tend to note the negative emotional reactions of students more than would a disinterested observer.

By contrast, a more impartial observer might give greater attention to the increased on-task behavior that may be effected by the use of punishment. Although there are ways to make such observations more reliable, they are far more subject to researcher bias than most quantitative reports.

Action Research

Like qualitative research, action research has gained in popularity among educators. Wiersma (1995) describes it as research "conducted by teachers, administrators, or other educational professionals for solving a specific problem or for providing information for decision making at the local level" (p. 11). Action research is typically quantitative but less rigorous in design and methodology than conventional quantitative research.

The following is a classroom level example: A teacher is having discipline problems during her fifth-period class. She arranges the desks differently and assesses whether the discipline problems are reduced. A written report of her investigation, including data, analysis, and a brief discussion, would be considered action research.

Would such a finding be a sufficient basis for recommending that teachers employ rearranged desks as a means of treating discipline problems? In theory it would not. Practice, however, is another matter. Despite methodological weaknesses--in the present example, a single class sample and no control group--such findings are sometimes used to bolster proposals for new and innovative programs.

Pseudoresearch

Pseudoresearch is a form of scholarly writing that appears to make factual claims based on evidence but, in fact, consists only of opinion founded on opinion. Previous studies are cited, but they contain only theory and opinion. Legitimate empirical reports traditionally present a review of literature that enables the reader to put new findings in context and to strengthen factual generalizations (Stanovich,1996). However, previous studies containing only opinion do nothing to strengthen the report that cites them.

Commonsense educational claims are often supported by such "research." For example, if an expert opines that schooling is improved by greater funding and if other experts cite and endorse that original claim, subsequent reports will contain what appears to be substantiation.

* If the claim seems plausible and thus goes unquestioned, it appears to gain acceptance as a fact without ever being tested. Such claims are said to be supported by "research" but it is "research" in the sense of a systematic review of relevant literature, not in the sense of studies that offer an empirical foundation for factual assertions.

Educational innovations that are consistent with popular educational doctrines are often supported by such research. The controversial but widely used whole-language reading instruction (discussed below), for example, goes unquestioned by most educators because it fits hand-in-glove with learner-centered pedagogy. It is supported primarily by favorable opinion among like-minded educators, not demonstrated experimental results.

A type of research that seems to produce empirical facts from opinion is a group-interaction process called the Delphi method (Eason, 1992; Strauss & Zeigler, 1975). However, instead of creating the appearance of empirically grounded fact from multiple reports of opinion (as does pseudoresearch), the * Delphi method creates facts about opinion.

In Delphi research, the opinions of experts are collected and synthesized in a multistage, iterative process. For example, if a researcher sought to determine the future occupations open to high school graduates, he or she might consult a panel consisting of career counselors, former high school students, employers, and economists. The panelists would be asked to compose a list of prospective jobs, and they would each share their list with the other panelists.

After viewing the lists of other panelists some members might choose to change their estimations, and their changes would then be shared with the other panelists in a second round of mutual review. Ideally, three or so rounds of sharing and realignment would produce a consensus. The "fact" resulting from such a study is that experts agree about the future availability of certain jobs, not that certain jobs have a high probability of being available.

A recent attempt to find effective institution-to-home "transition strategies" for disabled juvenile delinquents illustrates how a Delphi consensus can be confused with an empirically grounded conclusion. Following three rounds of surveys, Pollard, Pollard, and Meers (1994) concluded that the priorities identified by the panelists provided a "blueprint for successful transition" when, in fact, the surveys produced only a consensus about what may or may not prove to be a successful blueprint.

Rand corporation is credited with developing the Delphi technique as a means of distilling a consensus of expert opinion. Sackman (1974) has summarized its primary shortcomings. The expert status of panelists is not scientifically verifiable and neither is the assumption that group opinion is superior to individual opinion.

One other confusion about the Delphi technique pertains to its use by the leader of a deliberative body. Delphi methodology can create the appearance of consensus where none exists--a problematic outcome of a deliberative process. Technically, the Delphi technique does not force a consensus; but as a practical matter, it is designed to produce a consensus and it puts substantial pressure on dissenters for conformity to the group.

When employed by the leadership of a deliberative group, it can turn what should be an open and fair-minded exchange of views into a power struggle. Minority viewpoints can be isolated and marginalized. The result is more mindless conformity than reasoned agreement. The conclusions reached by committees and policy-making bodies can easily be distorted by Delphi methodology.

Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Research

Experiments are quantitative studies in which cause-effect relationships are tested (Campbell and Stanley, 1966). Quasi-experiments attempt the same but with certain limitations. Other studies may suggest or imply causal relationships, but their findings are far more ambiguous and subject to misinterpretation. Experiments are not foolproof, but they afford the best evidence science has to offer.

From a purely scientific standpoint, experiments are important because they attempt to answer the primary question with which science is concerned:

"What explains or accounts for the phenomenon under investigation?"

All sciences aspire to this kind of understanding. They are valuable from a practical standpoint, too, because they address the question of whether a given program, teaching method, treatment, intervention, curriculum, and the like produces expected effects.

Because schooling is intended as means of making a difference in the lives of students, the armamentarium of professional educators should contain tools that are well tested and demonstrably effective. Ideally, they should also be convenient, cost-effective, and well received by the student; but at a minimum, they must be effective.

The critical importance of experimental evidence in establishing effectiveness is not well understood by educators, but it is just such an understanding that is at the heart of knowing which research is valuable and why.

The aim of science is said to be the explanation of natural phenomena. However, the term explanation itself requires a bit of explanation. As the term is used by scientists, explanation refers to cause-and-effect explanation.

For example, a phenomenon such as achievement in school is said to be explained (or at least partially explained) if it can be shown that the presence or absence of achievement is functionally (i.e., causally) related to a preceding event or set of events termed a cause. A functional or causal relationship is initially stated in a tentative form called a hypothesis and is not considered a valid explanation until affirmed by evidence.

Experimental research is the business of collecting evidence that might support or disconfirm causal hypotheses. It entails the manipulation of a hypothesized cause for the purpose of inducing an expected effect. If a given effect (technically, a change in the "dependent variable") follows alteration of the purported cause (technically, a change in the "independent variable"), the causal hypothesis is said to be supported.

Other types of quantitative research and even qualitative research may be valuable in suggesting cause-effect hypotheses, but only experimental research can provide a direct test.

Internal and External Validity of Studies

Whether an empirical study is capable of demonstrating a causal relationship is one issue, but whether a given experiment was properly conducted is another. Moreover, even a properly conducted experiment may have limited applicability and usefulness in the "real world."

Whether the procedures used in an experiment permit valid findings is the matter of internal validity.

Whether the findings of an experiment are generally applicable to the "real world" (i.e., applicable under conditions beyond those under which the study was conducted) is the matter of external validity.

A wide variety of technical considerations can adversely influence the internal validity of an experiment. For example, the manner in which subjects were assigned to treatment and comparison groups can profoundly affect the outcome of an otherwise well-designed experiment.

Technical issues with respect to type of sampling and type of population sampled, for example, can greatly influence the external validity of a study.

Accurate assessment of these and other technical details requires considerable expertise. Even well-informed investigators may overlook significant threats to the validity of an experiment. Cook and Campbell (1979) provide an authoritative discussion of the myriad considerations that should be considered. Happily there are at least three considerations that a nonexpert can examine to assess the internal validity of a study: source, convergence, and replication.

Source. If a study is reported in a peer-reviewed scholarly journal, chances are good that it meets acceptable standards of internal and external validity. Peer review typically entails blind review of a manuscript by a panel of experts selected by an editor. Panelists are not given the author's name and the author is not given the reviewers' names. All criticisms and replies are exchanged through the editor. The most reputable and selective journals use this process.

Reports reviewed only by an editor may be valid, but peer-reviewed scholarship is generally conceded to be the most credible. Again, the process is not foolproof, but it is the best science has to offer.

Unpublished reports and reports that are not subject to editorial review--grant proposals and reports of funded research such as those included in the ERIC's Research in Education, for example--are of uncertain quality and should be treated as such.

Convergence. If a study's findings are generally consistent with (i.e., they converge with) the findings of other investigations in an area of research, they are generally assumed credible (Stanovich, 1996). Any competent research report will include a review of relevant literature. Consistencies and discrepancies within the existing literature and between the report at hand and previous studies are analyzed and discussed.

Articles called "reviews of literature" and "meta-analyses" are dedicated to citing and summarizing all of the findings relevant to a given topic or area of study.

Although new and revolutionary findings are sometimes uncovered by a single study, competent observations of the same or similar phenomena usually result in similar findings. Most scientific advancements come as incremental additions to understanding, not breakthroughs.

Replication. Replications are repeats of an original study by another investigator using a fresh set of subjects. The credibility of a study that has been replicated is greatly enhanced. Findings that have been replicated are considered valid even if they do not converge with other reports in the same general area of investigation. Only a small percentage of studies in the behavioral sciences are replicated, however.

The Need for Both Experiments and Field Testing

Few experimental investigations are able to fully satisfy requirements for both internal and external validity in a single study. The controls, artificial conditions, and other constraints necessary to ensure internal validity tend to interfere with external validity. Conversely, unanticipated and uncontrolled events can confound or invalidate an otherwise well-conceived study that is conducted in a natural environment such as a school.

Because of this inherent conflict, programs or interventions derived from experimental investigations should be field tested prior to implementation.

Field tests are trials of an experimentally supported finding in the classroom or clinic or other setting for which it is intended. Not infrequently they result in the discovery of limitations, cautions, and restrictions on the applicability of experimentally validated findings. Even findings that have been field tested elsewhere may lack local applicability because of peculiar local conditions.

Thus, large-scale programs, in particular, should also be locally tested on a small scale in what is called a pilot study. Pilot studies are especially important when the implementation of research findings entail significant time and energy costs for school personnel or learning opportunity costs for students.

My comment

An example of the problem of research methods is the climate debate. Both sides quote ‘experts’ but only their own experts, not those of the other side. Thus there appears to be quite cogent science supporting the sceptic stance that man made global warming is not occurring and there is an august body of science also supporting that it is occurring.

Both sides ignore the other’s ‘science’ and continue to quote their own as some some of refutation. This is ‘pseudo-science’ and proves nothing.

In education, it is one of the key methods of forcing through ‘educational consensus’ on ‘latest discoveries’ supporting the socialistic thrust of the powers that be in education and the results are now out there for the whole community to see.

Hover near a group of chavs and listen to their conversation for more anecdotal evidence of the plight of education in our community.

Friday, May 08, 2009

[russia one year on] has anything changed


My eyewitness information is now [coming up to being] a year out of date but primary source material still comes in from Russia as to what’s happening in that great land – I’m pumping one girl for as much as I can about the current state of play.

As is often the case with eyewitness and primary sources, they’re of less use than what researchers can offer, being specific to the situation those sources find themselves in. However, there are enough different sources currently coming in to my inbox, to attempt a comparison between Russia and Britain.

Both are facing depression and both have interesting set-ups at the top but one difference, it seems to me, is that not only are prices artificially kept in check over there, they are able to be. By this, I mean that Russia is still not sufficiently part of the market economy that it feels the strictures of process.

Here, if Darling says it is so, there are a thousand pundits to point out that he’s either in cloud cuckoo land or telling porkies. Everyone knows Britain’s debt. In Russia, everyone knows it is oil and gas which keep things afloat and when the Duma says, ‘This is,’ usually it is, until next week at least, when they may have changed their minds. Either way, the pan-Russian public just accepts it and puts it down to being Moscow’s doing.

The original model for our UKSSR, soviet Russia left a legacy of red tape and criminalization which put the average punter into a position, long ago, of having to ignore the million and one tiny regulations but to concentrate instead on the ‘regulation of the week’ which the powers that be happen to be pushing.

For example, everyone knows when the police have been instructed to pull over drivers for having half a wheel on a white line and with the state of the roads over there, it’s impossible to take any journey without four or five times committing that particular breach. Therefore, one doesn’t travel by car that day or else takes a route where the GAI are not likely to be. Usually these things happen when the coffers are low, at certain significant moments in the year.

Another difference is that apparently the mini-skirt is back in fashion and over there, the young women are absolutely everywhere, on every street, in every shop, anywhere you try to turn - there they are. It would be difficult for a man in the main shopping streets just at this point. Over here, women are only just de-rugging.

There’ve apparently been changes to tertiary education over there and I’m trying to get my friends to fathom those and be a little more than mono-syllabic in their replies. More on that at a later time.

I suspect that things are not a great deal different to what people can remember in the ‘bad old days’, a debatable question over there as to whether they were the bad old days and Russians are uniquely placed to cope with deep privations and dire circumstances in general. Over here, only the war generation would be prepared for what is coming up in late 2009 to mid 2010.

Having siad that, the Brits are perhaps halfway between the Americans and Russians for being able to batten down hatches and live on a shoestring, to shamelessly mix metaphors, as is my wont.

There’s a popular joke in some quarters in Russia and it goes a little like this:

There was a tank broken down in the desert. An American was sent out to assess it, he got to the core of the problem and ordered the part from Pittsburg, waiting time six weeks.

Two Brits came out to assess the problem, looked over, under and around, one raised his eyebrows, muttered, ‘Typical, in’it?’ to which the other said, ‘Big job, that. American tank. We’ll need to make a list of parts and we’ll sort it tomorrow, at 2.55 p.m.’

They departed the scene to get the requisite gear, for which they’d need to submit a Form SQ23-4h5, a J7D/347/T27 and possibly a K43 in triplicate plus they’d have to check that the officers authorized to do the repairs possessed the relevant NVQs. They’d be back tomorrow at 2.55 p.m and if a Brit says it won’t be sorted before 2.55 p.m. then, barring someone being called onto another job, in which case they’d need to reassess the return time, it will be sorted at 2.55 p.m.

A Russian came out, looked over, under etc., then broke for a cigarette. Two more Russians arrived, all shook hands and they discussed the matter, handing ciggies around. Four more, including two women, saw this group, came over, shook hands, cigarettes were passed round again, at which five more came upon the scene, cigarettes etc. etc.

Half swarmed over the machine and the other half remained smoking, for moral support. Dima called out, from under the tank, for someone to throw him down some chewing gum and one of the girl’s hairclips. After some time, he called out for Sergei to try the ignition.

The tank spluttered but wouldn’t start.

They broke for cigarettes and another brainstorming conference began, at which they discussed the two eternal Russian questions, in this order: ‘Who’s to blame and what to do?’

Time to break for a nip of vodka. Someone had brought some dried fish and khlep [bread].

In a better frame of mind now, everyone staggered back and then Misha saw the crux of the problem, common sense really, where before all had been fog. One of the girls’ panyhose, a hairclip and two chewed pieces of gum later, Sergei tried the ignition, it growled and spluttered, then suddenly sprang into life.

They all broke for a couple more nips and some ciggies, a good day’s work having been put in and some super lovemaking coming up late evening. Then they piled into, onto and around the tank and drove back to camp.

On Monday - why it is still possible to starve in Russia.


Good Trance

Sometimes I find it amusing to be looking for a song on YouTube and then finding another one, completely by accident. Usually, the accidentally found one turns out to be quite good.

Such was the case last night when I was looking for "Ibiza Sunrise" by Labworks:



One question I've always had, since I never have been to Ibiza, (even during my six month sojourn in Spain) is why do they have these chicks in two piece swimsuits? You look at any, and I mean any song on YouTube that is from the electronica genre and you will find one version of the song (if it's only the song) that has an avatar or a real photo of some chick in a two piece. It's as if the two piece swimsuit and chick are symbols of the place.

A brief primer (please don't take this as the definitive word, as I'm just now learning although I've dabbled in the genre for a number of years now) on electronic sub-genres:

house - a genre that usually (but not always) has vocals and is generally listened to in (where else?) your house

trance - a genre that employs usually only methodic beats without vocals, very popular in clubs

dance - a genre that is easy to dance to (usually remixes of pop songs from what I've found)

Back to my story, last night I searched for Labworks' "Ibiza Sunrise" by typing in "sunrise on Ibiza" on YouTube and this came up



It is now my new favorite trance song. Enjoy!

PS: Did I mention I just finished my last final of my undergrad epoch? Joy!

[copyright] shows you have to be careful

That header of the shoreline and boat at sunset came about this way. I had the large picture and trimmed it to header size, accentuated and did bibs and bobs, then had it hosted.

Fine. The original had been in my store for years, I couldn't recall from where but as i thought about it, it seemed to look like one of Gary Dierking's boats [he's known for that super-smooth strip-planking]. So today I thought I'd check his site out again and what a shock. Not only did he crop the way I did but he used the Papyrus font, as I do in many pics I use.

If you were to compare the two, it looks as if I've just come along and lifted his pic whereas I can assure anyone it was not so. Anyway, look through his site, he's a nice chap that I've had correspondence with from time to time.

[opera] elite test

To be a true member of Them, you’ll need to display an appreciation of opera. Supply the name of the composers from the initial letters:

1. Eugene Onegin…..1879…..T
2. The Tales of Hoffman…..1881…..O
3. Prince Igor…..1890…..B
4. La Boheme…..1896…..P
5. Salome …..1905…..RS

Answers

Tchaikovsky, Offenbach, Borodin, Puccini, Richard Strauss

[staying together] or taking the easy way out


This article by Cate Russell makes some good points about why people break up:

When I was in college, I was shocked when one of our psychology teachers
told the class he didn't expect his marriage to last. He had concluded that two people just aren't able to stay together forever as they change and grow. I was twenty years old, in love for the first time, and horrified at his defeatist attitude.

I now know from personal experience that it can be really rough going to keep a relationship strong, but I still disagree that marital failure is inevitable. I believe that a relationship is worth the love, energy, time and history which is invested in it, and all avenues to improve it, rather than abandon it, should be taken unless it is abusive or dangerous.

Once the passion and newness of a relationship has died down many disappointments do surface, and they take a lot of effort to come to terms with, and rebuild around. You may not treat each other as tenderly or considerately as you did before. The romance may have died, or the affection may have dwindled. There may be financial pressures, unemployment, sickness, the stresses that the arrival of children bring, or serious problems with other family members.

The internal pressures of realising that Mr Right is Mr Average, and isn't the white knight you thought he was going to be, coupled with the external problems you both face, can lock the greatest love story of all time in a pressure cooker to see how long it can handle boiling point! It is painful. Some couples stay together, and adapt and cope as best they can as a unit. Others become disillusioned and feel robbed. They pull apart and retreat to safer territory.

According to the experts who study relationships, the greatest predictor of divorce is how close the couple feel to each other. This is displayed in black and white when a couple faces conflict. When you watch couples fight, it is like watching a love meter which registers where they are really at. Do they get nasty and try and score points off each other? Do they avoid the problems? Are they defensive or critical? Do they bring up past hurts, whether they have been resolved before or not? If so, that couple could very well be headed for a break up within two years.

The decision to split up doesn't come because of differences in each partner's expectations of the other, domestic annoyances like leaving the cap off the toothpaste, or differences in personality. Splits happen when there is a loss of love, intimate sharing and connection. As human being we all need connection.

This is what holds families and societies together, and what can make or break a marriage. Attacking, criticising and being defensive in conflict, show that the emotional connection between the two parties is lacking. They may not feel loved or valued. Communication on a deep level is often missing, and there is more tension present than togetherness.

Couples that still show consideration for each other, even in a tense, hurtful situation, are far more likely to pull through and find a way to resolve their problems. They may use humour to break the tension. They don't blame and criticise, but rather, they acknowledge each other's viewpoint while not backing down from their feelings, or withdrawing just to escape facing up to what is going wrong.

Using kindness and honesty in a conflict, no matter how much you are hurting, is not only an indicator of an individual's maturity and relationship skills, but also how much they respect and are bonded to the other person. Kindness can prove that they see the relationship as a worthwhile investment, and they want to keep it alive.

So how do you know if you're headed for a break up? If you feel dissatisfied, even if you don't know why. If you don't share things with your partner the way you used to: big and small, daily and life changing decisions included. If you feel like you don't know each other, and are living together as two isolated, separate individuals rather than a unit.

The biggest warning sign is whether you are going ahead making decisions about what you want to do with your life without consulting with, or considering the needs of your partner.

However, just because you are in trouble doesn't mean break up is inevitable, and nothing can be done. If you are willing to work at it, and risk some failures while you are aiming for the successes, you can build a better quality more loving relationship, built on communication, genuine sincerity and trust.

The commitment to stay in a relationship is not just made at the beginning. It is re-evaluated periodically as the value of your loved one and their relevance to your life is reconsidered in tough moments.

Successful long term partners have been studied, and often it was found that they didn't consider splitting up or divorce to be an option. They had made a commitment, and the preciousness of their partner overrode the highs and lows they knew they would face.

All couples experience pain and dissatisfaction with each other at various times. Some days it may seem so intense that breaking up is the only escape. Yet life too throws us the same hand, and we choose to keep trying.

All couples are closer emotionally at some times and not others. There will always be demands on us which will alter our priorities, and conflicts and crisis' will always arise. It's our decision whether to give in and quit, or find a way forward and stay together.

Essentially, whether you break up or not is your decision. It is an act of your own free will, no matter what the circumstances are, or how hopeless and damaged the situation may seem at the time. As the slogan of one Australian bank neatly puts it, "Make It Happen."

Cate Russell, 26th August, 2001

Her point about:

Successful long term partners have been studied, and often it was found that they didn't consider splitting up or divorce to be an option. They had made a commitment, and the preciousness of their partner overrode the highs and lows they knew they would face.

… is an excellent one and reveals the extent to which society today goes for the soft option and the easy way out. However, the article above doesn't take into account some other factors, such as:

1. The global external pressures present today, e.g. internet, alternative youth 'culture', gaming, clubbing, permissiveness, the 'me first' mentality and of course – the economic depression. Money is a major factor in breakups for people fixated on acquisition of material goods.

2. Nagging. This is a word you never read of in articles written by women and yet it is a major factor in break-ups. That shopping list of faults and the sour-faced look do more to drive a man away than almost anything else, under the guise of 'trying to talk' or 'improving him'. In the article above, this does not appear as a prime cause.

In a similar way, non-gender-specifically, one of the killers of a relationship is the partner who says, 'Let's talk,' or 'Let's work together,' by which he/she means, 'Let's agree to do things my way.' The Beatles song We Can Work It Out addresses that directly. 'We' here means that you must see it my way. Why is it that the person who calls for dialogue is often the one less able to accept the other's position?

3. The refusal of boys today to accept responsibility for impregnating girls or even just committing to a partnership and the refusal of girls to say no or to be discerning and by so doing, allowing the boys to refuse to accept responsibility and so on.

A more recent phenomenon is the widespread, parallel refusal of girls to commit and thus the seeds have been sewn for a gomorrah type situation in the not too distant future, ushering in Huxley's Brave New World.

4. Cate Russell makes another good point: 'When you watch couples fight, it is like watching a love meter which registers where they are really at.'

It comes down to why they're together in the first place. Was it because she was pregnant, because they were genuinely in love, both of them, because they were frightened of being alone … what?