Wednesday, November 14, 2007

[bobbies] available now in replica


"Terrorism can hit us anywhere from any place," Brown has written and he should know exactly where it's coming from to help jolly along the network of surveillance and tracking of a grateful population.

The Sun said the measures would include boosting the use of properly-trained door staff who could identify possible threats at potential targets.
Properly trained?


The Bobby as he used to be - now only available in replica from good antique dealers.

[nigerian scams] it's good to be loved

In the light of the recent letter David Farrer received about the Olympics [:)] and of the dozen or so I've received recently, I felt it would be churlish not to reply. Would you, dear reader, kindly check the letter below for any errors and comment in the margin?
Dearest Madam Tinunbu,

Delighted to read your letter and appreciated your epithet for me: "Dearly Beloved". You see, I haven't been doing so well of late in the love department and to know that you love me - well that's more than my poor heart can stand.


So sorry to hear that your efforts towards the abolition of the slave trade are meeting with such fierce resistance and that it's all so expensive. Of course I'll rush you the $12 000 immediately but in this day and age, Mme Tinumbu, I'm sure you'd understand I need to make sure you're for real.
There are so many scammers out there e-mailing people right now.

Would you therefore simply and quickly verify your bona fides before I proceed, as set out below?


Your full name _____________


Full address ___________


Bank to whom my donation is to be sent ___________


Your account no. __________


Type of account ___________


Your mother's maiden name ___________


Your S.W.I.F.T. code no. ___________


Please e-mail, by attachment, specimen signature [twice for verification].


With great love from the bottom of my heart to you and your extended family,


Jamette Highamele [Ms]
Wonderful lady. Just wonderful.

Tuesday, November 13, 2007

[tip of the iceberg] preconditions now in place

Click on pic and scrutinize.

"Insanity in individuals is something rare - but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule." [ Friedrich Nietzsche]

People of my ilk who never got beyond Economics 101 will be lost. People in the know know all this already. If you're a small punter, you'd best read this – if I understood it, you can too:

First the news

Bank of America Corp., the nation's second biggest bank, said Tuesday it will take a $3 billion debt-related writedown in the fourth quarter and warned its losses could grow as the market wrestles with the fallout from the housing and mortgage-lending slump.

Mortgage-related writedowns across the banking industry were more than $40 billion in the third quarter, and the fourth quarter could end up being worse.

OK, so all that is known. So is this.

Investors have been bracing for fourth-quarter writedowns for a while, but the amount was larger than many were prepared to hear. As a result, volatility has returned to virtually all corners of Wall Street.

There's more

You'll remember Bear Stearns bailed out its two defaulting hedge funds, pouring $2.3 billion dollars of its own money into the hedge funds.

In the last few weeks, the ratings agencies -- Moody's, Fitch and S&P -- have been re-evaluating their ratings on hundreds of Collateralized Debt Obligation contracts, including securities that they'd previously given AAA ratings to.

Now, on Thursday evening, ratings agency Standard & Poor's slashed its ratings of the securities in Carina CDO Ltd, a CDO managed by State Street Bank.

State Street are going to let the assets be liquidated. Now, a widespread fire sale of securities by CDOs could further exacerbate declines in sub-prime-mortgage bonds.

Minor blip, no?

There's widespread fear that if there's a major sale of CDOs, then a "market price" will be established, and that will force other institutions to "mark to market" -- write down their assets to the market price, which in many cases is "nearly worthless."

Many investors may only invest in AAA but if these are downgraded to CCC minus, they lose all. This bears remarkable similarities to 1927-29.

More for the mix

FASB Statement 157 becomes effective on November 15, requiring companies to clearly designate which of its assets are "marked to market," and which are "marked to model" Level 3, valuated by computer algorithm.

In the following months, companies are going to be required by this accounting rule to clearly identify how much they have in "Level 3" marked to model assets, and this will further pressure these companies to provide realistic prices for them.

And what?

It means that with a set market price, the overinflated buying and selling is going to be seen for what it is and confidence will fly.

The bubble has started to deflate

When comparing these international financial crises, the details are always different, but they're all remarkably similar in the following ways, as described in "The bubble that broke the world":

A debauched and perverted use of credit, occurring at exactly the time that the survivors of the previous financial crisis have all died or retired; a huge asset bubble; the securitization of credit; and an upsurge in corruption. All of those elements are enormously present today.

Example of the mentality

On the sub-prime securitization market’s difficulties, Fitch answered some questions [don't know who FPA is, doesn't matter]:

FPA: “What are the key drivers of your rating model?”

Fitch: FICO scores and home price appreciation (HPA) of low single digit (LSD) or mid single digit (MSD), as HPA has been for the past 50 years.

FPA: “What if HPA was flat for an extended period of time?”

Fitch: The model would start to break down.

FPA: “What if HPA were to decline 1% to 2% for an extended period of time?”

Fitch: The models would break down completely.

FPA: “With 2% depreciation, how far up the rating’s scale would it harm?”

Fitch: It might go as high as the AA or AAA tranches."

We have here serious incompetence, arrogance and greed, all mixed in together, like the Billionnaire Boys Club. This is the key factor in the whole unravelling which is about to hit the world financial markets and goes part way to explaining Japan's flight from the dollar.

Russia, with its oil, is also keenly interested in the health of the dollar and doesn't like what it sees.

Why can't the players see what is happening?

There is an intrinsic optimism to players of the markets, a belief in the immutability of the market, of the essential economic theories they learned at university and honed in practice.

Above all, there is a firm belief that “the situation can be handled”. Tweak here, tweak there and it comes back on track.

I have a different model to work on and it says that rampant greed and clever little CDOs will not only come back in their faces but will bring everyone else down as well. This model of mine also says that there are those hanging around in the shadows ready to snap up the pieces.

Another take of some interest

Three familiar features of the universal delusion include:

* First, the idea that the panacea [cure-all] for debt is credit.

* Second, a social and political doctrine, now widely accepted, beginning with the premise that people are entitled to certain betterments of life.

* Third, the argument that prosperity is a product of credit, whereas from the beginning of economic thought it had been supposed that prosperity was from the increase and exchange of wealth, and credit was its product.

* When you add to that the securitization of credit [which in itself is bad enough], then financial markets are heading for a fall.

One last aspect from that article

Markets tend to go into severe crisis when the last of those who went through the last one are dead and gone. The new crisis, therefore, is a new one to the participants, who will go to great pains to point out the "historical differences", whilst not dwelling on the similarities.

Like Calvin Coolidge did, they'll talk up the recovery whilst not accepting the root cause - the delusionary greed and the arrogance that they can play the market and continue to win.

[newsday] blazing condoms

While, in London:
A massive fire has broken out at London’s Olympic venue, covering the centre of the city in black smoke, and plunging the city into twilight,
In China there's a different problem:
Used condoms in southern China are being recycled into hair bands and they are selling well in local markets and beauty salons.
Meanwhile, another great use for a condom;

And finally, the connection between tall buildings and condoms.

[eu monster] disdain as an art form

BBC today:
The auditors for the EU have refused to sign off the bloc's financial accounts - for the 13th year in a row.

A report by the European Court of Auditors (ECA) criticises nearly every major area of the EU's expenditure.

However, it says there has been a big reduction in the overall level of error in the EU's Common Agricultural Policy.

The European Commission has blamed member states for audit failings, but the report criticises the commission itself, our correspondent says.

Two posts ago, I said:

Meanwhile, the banks have been quietly divesting themselves of gold and are increasingly relying on unbacked scribble in a ledger to balance the books [or not bothering, in the case of the EU – admittedly not a bank but still – see the auditor's report for 2004, for example].

So now we can see the auditors' report for 2007. So the EU is a dodgy organization which lies blatantly and will now close down as an entity, on the auditors' recommendation.

No?

[the state] obsession with information gathering

From Colin Campbell, who quotes Laurel Papworth, on Google as Big Brother.
The central witness in a California lawsuit against AT&T says the government is vacuuming up billions of e-mails and phone calls as they pass through an AT&T switching station in San Francisco.

Mark Klein, a retired AT&T technician, helped connect a device in 2003 that he says diverted and copied onto a government supercomputer every call, e-mail, and Internet site access on AT&T lines.
For the benefit of the Anonymii who have been patiently feeding my comments sections material and awaiting some result, this is most certainly in the process of collation - the theme of micro-control 6 is the slide to and obsession with control by the state.

Not that anything I write will be much chop - the groundwork has already been done by these boys.

The main contention will be that the State consists of merely the representatives of the sovereign people and the former are charged with doing the people's will and taking charge of the everyday details of services, armed forces et al.

This is not how the State sees it and articles on Post-Democracy which are starting to come out are hugely worrying. Here's a nice treatment of the subject in simple terms, quoting the delightful Richard Rorty.

In the end, the people who constructed the term Social-Construct, concerning that which they oppose, have now another fabricated construct - Post-Democracy and while adopted as a criticism of the New-Statism, is also being utilized by its proponents.

Absolute bollocks, the efficacy of Post-Democracy. I've watched these reptiles for seven years now and you have to hand it to them - they know how to play the people for suckers. Give me the suckers any day over the cold elitism of sociopathic "leaders beyond authority".