Tuesday, October 09, 2007

[thomas friedman] and global outsourcing


If the French can be described as passionate, surely the Americans can be described as an enthusiastic bunch, especially the middle-aged, white male who is measured by his ability to become engrossed in his work, as a team player and as a key advocate of the merits of his organization.

For example - Walmart executives.

The workforce was once composed of specialists [the guilds, the trades] and the peasantry, with the military class and aristocracy another thing again. Now we have the bourgeois "generalist", of whom I'm one of the worst types, who turns his hand to and is soon an expert, in his own eyes, in every field under the sun.

An example of the type is a NYT journalist who stumbles on a new idea and becomes its most passionate exponent, deriving his knowledge base from the people in the field who now take an interest in him, by virtue of his position.

One world of peace and prosperity [for the top 15%]

Such a man is Thomas Friedman, prophet of the new globalism, whom we are currently studying over in this republic. Best to cut straight to his take on globalism. For a start, to be interviewed by Ellen Pearlman and Dan Briody in 2005 is quite something but only fitting for a movement which powerful forces in the world see as inexorable.

In Thomas Friedman they've found a gem:

Imagine if America were the only country in the world, and there were only 100 people in America. We would have 80 knowledge workers and 20 manual laborers. And our manual laborers would be paid partly in relationship to the number of knowledge workers; that is, they're a fairly small pool.

Linking all like-minded thinkers

So the wages of those people [the manual workers] aren't going to be what the CEO makes, but they're also not going to be doing what the CEO does. Still, their wages aren't going to be flat, either, because they're going to be paid relative to the number of knowledge workers in our 100-person economy.

Now this imaginary world expands and there are two countries-America and China. China has 1,000 people, and we have a free-trade agreement with them. So now we have two countries in the world, and they are totally integrated with free trade.

We have 80 knowledge workers and 20 physical laborers. China, with its 1,000 people, also has 80 knowledge workers, but they have 920 physical laborers.

Now we're in a two-country world with a total of 160 knowledge workers and 940 physical laborers. If you're one of those knowledge workers, you're going to do fine in this world.

Destiny of the 85%

Why? Because the market for knowledge products has just expanded from 100 to 1,100. And, remember, knowledge people sell ideas and idea-based products, so they can be sold to everybody.

When you make a copy of Microsoft Word, all 1,100 people can potentially buy it. If you're working on a factory line, there's only one factory that can buy your labor, and you're now competing for that one factory job, not with 20 anymore, but with 940 people.

So what does this mean? For knowledge workers, it means this is going to be a great world. You're going to do fine. You will have to move horizontally at most. Ideally, you're going to have a lot more companies that want to buy your product, and you won't have to move at all.

The people in the 940 pool-physical laborers - they have a real problem, and there's just no getting around it. They cannot move horizontally. They have to move vertically. They have to get into the pool of knowledge workers who sell their products to the 1,100, not just to the one.

All for you

And that's why … we need to think about bringing more people up because they can't just step sideways.

So I'm not worried, frankly, about you, and I'm hopefully not worried about my kids. They're going to do fine. They're going to have a career that's very different from anything I may have ever contemplated, but they're going to do fine.

But I do worry about John and Sue who are working in the furniture factory in North Carolina. This is not a good transition for them. They have a problem.

What about the IT worker?

Oh, the IT worker, that's all a bunch of nonsense. Show me a qualified software engineer today anywhere in America who is looking for a job and can't find one. Some of them may have had to move a little horizontally. But show me one person who really has qualifications, is an IT knowledge worker, and just cannot find a job. I don't believe that.

Apostle of the brave new world

So, in Thomas' world, devotees of the new globally "outsourced" world are fine, all 15% of them and the other 85% are serfs, unable to move laterally and only able to move vertically with patronage from those already in the system.

Or to translate this into other terms, the bourgeoisie has now been effectively split, with the vast majority who were either too old, too incompetent or too unwilling to play the global game moving downwards in real terms to a state of serfdom and food vouchers - and the enthusiastic embracers of the new world taking their places on the rungs and doing whatever is necessary to stay up there.

Peace and prosperity for all North Americans

To translate this further, this 15% of devotees, of course, have masters, just as with the old guilds, and no matter how jaundiced and anti-compassion their illumined masters' world view is, they can count on the base instinct for self-preservation, ambition and acquisitiveness to prevail in the new dog-eat-dog world they've worked so tirelessly to achieve.

And that's just how our "masters" like it. Welcome to the new globalism.

Further reading, if you were able to stomach this post.

14 comments:

  1. Yes, very much so. As he stated, he'll do just fine in the new world.

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  2. Unfortunately for Mr Friedman, he seems to rely on the sanctity of Intellectual Property Rights, which are as much heeded as human rights in some quarters; and ignore the steady development of a mighty class of home-grown technos and media/advertising/marketing bullsh*tt*rs in China. What makes him think they'll be content to remain metal-bashing coolies?

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  3. The acquisition of knowledge of technology/IT/Programming/finance, international- finance/economics/banking, is both globally extremely competitive, and fast moving.
    Product development/lifecycle and redesign are speeding almost exponentially.
    Supply chain management in a globalised world/production chain is extremely complex and competitive.
    In a nutshell, everything is changing/products evolve to other products/markets, eventually becoming commoditised.
    Eg embedded software for burning DVD, Nand technologies, H264 uses.

    Same with people, they can't stay on top intellectually, they have to be "smart", - manage, - or patent.
    As the previous commenter pointed out, not everybody respects intellectual property rights. The strength of a patent is often determined by the ability of the owner to defend/enforce it.
    Often the smart businessman will go IPO, divest a majority of shares to the public, become a deal maker, and sell at the top.
    Tough, yes.
    Smart, yes.
    every man has his price.
    Move on to other fields.
    At the end of the day, there are two types.
    The doers and the done.
    People can move between the categories. Sometimes it depend on who the co-conspirator is.
    But doers and done always holds.
    And the simplistic model quoted is just that.
    Simplistic.

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  4. James,

    I like to think of myself as being a relatively smart kind of guy; but I have only one reaction to Friedman's drivel.

    It hurts my head.

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  5. Mr Friedman is obviously unaware that Indian programmers make fewer than one third of the programming errors of US programmers, whatever their origins, and what we might call US shelf-stackers (the 20% without a market for their unskilled labour) aspire to the lifestyle he apparently assumes his children will obtain without competition.

    As far as 'doers' are concerned: The done to must acquiesce in the doing for the 'doers' to 'do' anything. Should they do otherwise, the 'doers' can do fuck all. All of which is irrelevant to the US social economic and political elite because, of course, they don't eat quite as much brioche as the French.

    Being 'smart' only takes one so far. At some point one needs intellect; intelligence is just not enough.

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  6. Sackerson - last question is a curly one.

    Anon - that's the nature of the latecoming layman - simplistic and strident.

    Martin - but they love him.

    William - love the logic in the 2nd para in particular.

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  7. Seems a little intellect is lacking on these pages.
    The point of listing professions is to illustrate specialisation.
    Once you are specialised, you can't sell your skills to all and sundry as the simplistic model assumes.
    Ultimately the end product always becomes commoditised. Thats the nature of markets, - - a nice margin attracts competitors. Look at Voip, - Skype. Anyone with broadband gets it. The guys who bought it are the bag holders. The developers walked away VERY WEALTHY.
    How many examples do you need?
    When it's free, what worth are the specialised technical skills to produce it?
    Redeploy/relearn.

    Concerning doers and done, your logic fails in the real world. The writers of the code for burning DVDs played Billy Gates, and others like a harmonica, Why? Because they knew that he knew that he had to have it.
    Doers and Done. Not voluntary at all, - Billy knew it was a must have, - or someone else would have it.
    Ultimately that was commoditised.

    Yes the done have a choice, they can go hungry.
    Or move further down the ladder and pack shelves.
    Smart, intellect???
    Richard Branson was a drop-out educationally, so was Billy Gates.
    What intellect was involved "borrowing" code from a few other companies and amalgamating it in a window?
    His skill was seeing an opening, appreciation of market directions, and then marketing. It certainly wasn't/isn't remotely to do with programming.
    Same with Nand technology. Look how prices are dropping like a lead balloon as technology progresses.
    Guys involved become better and better at miniaturisation and achieving more data per cell, faster read/write times, but the price still falls. OK, lower prices allow penetration of other markets. BUT original margins attracted competitors. Thats when markets reach saturation, companies buy out competitors, consolidate, and highly skilled doers become done.
    Maybe only for a few months. They got to refocus.

    You can be pedantic and argue over smart/intellect/intelligence, and all that crap.
    I'll stick with real world.
    That's what works!

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  8. Corporatism
    "We are grateful to the Washington Post, the New York Times, Time magazine and other great publications whose directors have attended our meetings and respected the promises of discretion for almost forty years. It would have been impossible for us to develop our plan for the world if we had been subject to the bright lights of publicity during those years. But, the world is now more sophisticated and prepared to march towards a world-government. The supranational sovereignty of an intellectual elite and world bankers is surely preferable to the National autodetermination practiced in past centuries"

    David Rockefeller - address to the Bilderberg Group - June 1991, Baden Baden, Germany

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  9. Bilderbergers.

    Doers and done.

    QED

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  10. anonymous 22:10

    You appear to have confused intellect with intelligence and to be confounded by a lack of the former, though you are clearly endowed with an adequate quotient of the latter.

    Specialists have never been able to sell their skills to 'all and sundry'. Specialisation is only possible in a stratified society and the market for specialisms has always been restricted to those who own some control over the economy.

    The 'doers' who are done to that you cite were never 'doers' in the first place; merely self-deluding and acquiescent done-tos like the rest of us, although higher up the food chain.

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  11. Gruff.
    Sigh!
    "You can be pedantic and argue over smart/intellect/intelligence, and all that crap.
    I'll stick with real world.
    That's what works!"

    "and the market for specialisms has always been restricted to those who own some control over the economy."
    Incorrect bullshit

    "The 'doers' who are done to that you cite were never 'doers' in the first place; merely self-deluding and acquiescent done-tos like the rest of us, although higher up the food chain."
    incorrect bullshit again, - owners of Companies, sometimes multi-nationals, politicians. neither self deluded nor acquiescent. Don't try to win an argument by sliding your characters up, or down a scale

    Oh, And your self serving verbosity speaks volumes about the failure of your logic.

    Thank-you. Goodnight

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    Check out our site ICanFreelance.com for any freelance graphics you need.

    ReplyDelete

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