Thursday, July 12, 2007

[flight next week] check here first

Flying next week? Fearful you'll be going down in a screaming, twisted heap of tangled metal and perishing in a ball of flame? Don't be worried. This Higham study is designed to help you, to allay your fears. Here are some of the conclusions:

Safest planes: Boeing 777, Airbus 340, Airbus 330, Boeing 767

Least safe: The real doozy is the Aerospatile Concorde. Don't take it. Then a range of Embraers, Fokkers, Airbuses and McDonnells. Boeing 747-400 is relatively unsafe but that might be because of age and the huge number of runs they have done.

Safest airlines: South West, America West, Delta Airlines [disputed here], Mexicana Airlines, Aerolineas, Argentinas, Varig, British Airways, Lufthansa, SAS, South African, Saudi Airlines, Qantas, All Nippon Airways, Air New Zealand [as long as you don't go near Mt. Erebus]

Least safe: Air Canada, Aloha Airlines, American Airlines, LAN Chile, Aero Peru, Cubana, Air France, KLM, TAP, Portugal, Egypt Air, Royal Jordanian, Air Zimbabwe, Singapore/Silk Air, Japan Airlines, Garuda Airlines, Phillippines Airlines

Wanting to check on some of these, I had a look at all airline incidents by airline [the things I do for you] and the real shockers, with multiple repeated incidents are:

Aeroflot, Air France, American, China, Dan Air, Korean, Pan Am, TWA, United, US Air.

Good luck if you're booked on one of these.

British Airways have 4 incidents in modern times so you have a chance of stayng up with them; the only recent Lufthansa incident was in an Airbus and Qantas has the cleanest record of anyone.

Safest seats: Theoretically speaking, the safest seat is one that is facing to the back of the aircraft. Conventional wisdom has sometimes influenced safety experts to conclude that sitting at the rear of the airplane provides a higher survival rate. If you survive the sickening plummet, being nearest to the exits ensure the best guarantee of a safe evacuation.

Newer better? Not necessarily. Today, manufactures and airlines refuse to agree on when old is too old because the life span of an airplane can be extended.

Danger times? Predictably, the take off and climb to cruising altitude, and the descent and landing of the airplane are the two most critical phases of the entire journey.

Pilot error is a far more likely cause of an airplane crash than mechanical failure or bad weather conditions. It is pertinent to note that commuter airlines and air taxis have almost double the accident rates of large air carriers. the cream of the pilots’ community is attracted to the more established airlines where training standards are better and pay is even more attractive.

Conclusions? Fly on established airlines whose planes are not jointly owned or developed by a number of countries and which have fared well in the accident records.

Be careful which American airline you take and which Airbus. Always ask first.

Choose main commercial flights, rather than charter or non-regular. Be careful of "long haul packages" which lump safe airlines with shoddy ones.

Apart from that, have a lovely flight and see you if you return ... sorry ... when you return!

9 comments:

  1. That's a very interesting and timely post James.I wonder though if you have any studies done on safety in terms of airlinesmost likely to be attacked or hi-jacked? For sure, American and British airlines ( neither of which I woud dare take) would be highest on that list.
    I was surprised to see Air Canada on the 'wrong side of the tracks' on your list. I have alwys travelled with them and felt most secure. Why are they deemed not as safe?

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  2. Air Canada have six fatal crashes since 1970 and four of those in recent times. A bit wobbly, this airline. Good luck with them.

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  3. What about Virgin or Ryannair?
    I like the point the ego raises too.

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  4. Ryanir and easyjet both have modern fleets and well paid pilots so are pretty sfae.

    Virgin is safe but is also quite a small airline.

    After 9/11 it is very unlikley a western will be hijacked again; security has been improved alot.

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  5. I love Royal Air Maroc. I don't know their safety record; don't want to as I have little choice of airline here. But they serve food you actually want to eat, the seats are circa roomy 1970, and the airline attendants are pretty, not overweight (I know, I'm a terrible woman), and cheery (which I think goes along with being able to fit through the aisle).

    Actually one of the best things you can do is fly an airline that has had an accident in the past weeks. The Safety Board makes them rotate,ground and check all their planes. - my safety tip.

    james dear I want to be sure you see this from my post on 11 July so I am posting it here as well:

    Another great surprise I had today and I’m sorry oh ye of staid personality and reserved emotions but I am so tickled, I smile still (lots of smiling today, which was good after writing that post this morning). I sallied forth to my BlogPower blog roll to read some interesting, fascinating, technically savvy, tasty, and other brilliant adjectives, blogs, and lo did I find there my OWN little blog title, sassy and proud to be among such company. I must do my thank you, like a well brought up person, and that is to Sir James (I can’t recall all of the new moniker) of Nourishing Obscurity. Three months ago when I was just an infant blogger he wrote some delicious and kind words about my blog on his site. I was beside myself with glee to even be noticed by someone of his obvious blog-caliber, but to be reviewed and brought to notice was heady indeed. He has since that time not only read my blog but offered kind comments. He has been a cyber friend of the very best kind. He is generous of spirit and someone to emulate. Thank you james. You are my cyber hero.

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  6. Oh dear, just when I'll be flying in a few weeks. How cruel of you James. Cathay Pacific. We all hate Air Canada but not for its safety record.

    Qantas is the safest but unfortunately it never seems to be going my way and even going to Australia they make me go to SF or LA to go Qantas.

    I'm terrified of developing a fear of flying. Then I won't be able to go anywhere.

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  7. www.airdisaster.com has been one of my favourite occasional visit web sites for many years, well worth a glance. I used to be aerophobic but can't afford that luxury any more. I would refuse to fly early Airbuses because of their imperfect fly by wire software (French Air Show incident), sorted out now.

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  8. Very interesting but I'm not sure I feel much safer! I have vowed not to fly long-haul again until they allow you to take ALL your make-up on board like you used to be able to. A girl doesn't want to arrive looking a wreck [oops - no pun intended].

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