Tuesday, January 29, 2008

[super tuesday] february 5th


The theory
In the United States, Super Tuesday commonly refers to the Tuesday in early February or March of a presidential election year when the greatest number of states hold primary elections to select delegates to national conventions at which each party's presidential candidates are officially nominated. More delegates can be won on Super Tuesday than on any other single day of the primary calendar, and accordingly, candidates seeking the presidency traditionally must do well on this day to secure their party's nomination.

What to watch for

Although the results are reported by state, district results are quite important:
Each district typically has three to five delegates to award. A candidate needs at least 15% of the vote in the district to get any delegates. So in a race where only Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Obama meet that threshold, they are likely to divide the delegates evenly if there are an even number of delegates available. That makes the districts with an odd number of delegates the most valuable, because the winner will automatically get an extra.

The 2008 race
But Mr. Obama heads into the 22-state showdown as the underdog. The Illinois senator trails Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York by large margins in polls in most of the big states voting Feb. 5. And he lacks the time or resources to campaign intensively in many of those far-flung races to close the gaps.

"Clinton is harvesting her long-term campaign investment," says Cole Blease Graham Jr., a professor of political science at the University of South Carolina. "The Democratic establishment seems to be more behind her."
So, despite Obama's successes, the Lizard Queen appears to have done the number crunching and is likely to emerge the victor. This would surely be a result favoured by the Republicans as her divisiveness might just tip the balance their way.

On the other hand, the allegedly most corrupt machine politician of modern times might just have the numbers to head the U.S.A., come 2009. Lord have mercy on America and the world.

12 comments:

UBERMOUTH said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
UBERMOUTH said...

The above was me.

While I do think it high time there was a lady in the White House(hahaha) I do not think this one is the right lady.

I am pulling for Obama whom I think should pay everyone back for the slave trade. :)

UBERMOUTH said...

You're up early James. :)

Verlin Martin said...

wtf is he going to do uber? how in hell would he pay anyone back for the slave trade considering there is no one in the US that owned any slaves still alive??

Hildabeast will be Obamessiah, then it will be a mud-slinging general affair... bring the popcorn and hope.

Bretwalda Edwin-Higham said...

Yep, not looking too great really, the Democrats. Now, who stands out, head and shoulders above, for the Republicans?

Why don't you run, Verlin and then we can vote for someone?

Welshcakes Limoncello said...

And what about that slimeball Ted Kennedy backing Obama? The fact that Obama will shake the hand of such a man has put me right off him.

Anonymous said...

I've never read such ill-informed comments from registered bloggers, and my neighbors pet rodent in all my life.
Don't you folks think you should be familiar with a topic before you shoot your collective mouths off?

Jesus H Christ!

UBERMOUTH said...

Verlin- Take time to laugh at life , sometimes. It was clearly a JOKE.

Ruthie said...

Did you get those pictures from the WSJ?

I know it's nonmaterial to the topic, but it always strikes me what a pretty picture that is of Hillary Clinton.

Verlin Martin said...

uber: if that was the 1st time you had said Obama needs to pay people back, I would have thought it was a joke, since it wasn't, I took it as semi-serious.

James: I don't have the money to run for office :)

UBERMOUTH said...

Verlin- I do not recall ever saying that before.

Bretwalda Edwin-Higham said...

Ho hum - let's stick to the issue, people. Ruthie - can't remember - did't I link it? Oh well, there's a new post up now.