Friday, May 16, 2008

[church rises] tourism in a drought area


Reuters reports:

Perhaps the most striking image of Spain's drought, so severe it has forced Barcelona to ship in water, has been that of the underwater church which emerged from a drying dam.

For most of the past four decades, all that has been visible of the village of Sant Roma has been the belltower of its stone church, peeping above the water beside forested hills from a valley flooded in the 1960s to provide water for the Catalonia region.

This year, receding waters have exposed the 11th-century church completely, attracting crowds of tourists who stand gazing around it on the dusty bed of the reservoir.

Like it. Like it very much. Might pop over for one of the services. Would they be praying for rain?

[friday caption time] would like to have one of these

[facebook] the social network war



Facebook has banned Google's Friend Connect access to the Facebook API, saying:

We've found that it redistributes user information from Facebook to other developers without users' knowledge, which doesn't respect the privacy standards our users have come to expect and is a violation of our Terms of Service.

Oh, that's a good one. As Michael Arrington of Tech Crunch says:

Facebook is all about openness and data portability, as long as that doesn't involve openness or portability of data, it seems ...

Arrington adds, tongue in cheek:

This of course has nothing to do with the fact that Facebook launched their own nearly identically named product called Facebook Connect three days before Google's Friend Connect.

This is how it has been described:

Facebook announced its Facebook Connect, what it calls the "next iteration of Facebook Platform," which allowed third-party developers to develop social applications for the site. When it is rolled out ---also "in the coming weeks"-- participating sites will be able to share Facebook users' friends lists, their "real identities," photos, and videos.

There's a fine line between being supercautious and paranoid but this blog feels there are legitimate issues. Daviswiki gives a run down on some of the privacy issues ...

Facebook is commonly referred to as Stalkerbook, due to its many features that allows you to track people in your network, especially when you are friends with those people.

And Ian Parker said:

Just remember who funded the building of Facebook and why it is there.


It was funded by DARPA's Information Awareness Office, and is there to collect information about you and build a profile on you.

Thats why they don't like pseudonyms.

In an article on the organization some time back, Ian Grey commented:


I've deactivated. I did [this] after reading your first post and a bit of surfing about the dodgy stuff. This is when I realised I couldn't actually unsubscribe! I'm Still in LinkedLn and MySpace though.

Longrider summed up my thoughts when he commented:

As mentioned on your other post, I have never signed up to this "service" - nor have I signed up to MySpace. Nor will I ever. It's easy enough, should one try, to find out my real identity, but I reserve the right to publish under a pseudonym. And, frankly, any organisation (remember Blogburst?) that claims rights to my material can take a walk.

Given this organization's antecedents, given that it is an information gathering and disbursing machine to "trusted third parties", given that there is no unsubscribe function and given the really intrusive nature of the questioning they do on you, in a jaunty style of language, e.g. "what's the story here', it seems most unwise to allow any but the most perfunctory details to go to them.

At best you're going to be spammed. At worst, you are on a giant database to be used at their discretion. At least it is to be hoped that they're not incompetent, like these people:

Even if we ignore/excuse the massive amounts of lost data already by this government as institutional failings of the system and processes of the Civil Service rather than government ministers, these last two cannot be explained away like that.

Thunderdragon then goes on to explain.

Thursday, May 15, 2008

[thought for the day] thursday evening


Possibly not the most intelligent decision, beneath a conceivably descending scimitar, to indulge in Leonard Cohen:

As someone long prepared for the occasion;
In full command of every plan you wrecked -
Do not choose a coward's explanation
That hides behind the cause and the effect

Ha, ha, how did he know that? So, in lieu of an operational net connection, whisky and Cohen is a heady brew:

I was pretty good at taking out the garbage
Pretty good at holding up the wall
I'm sorry for my crimes against the moonlight
I didn't think the moon would mind at all

There is a crack, a crack in everything
That's how the light gets in.

So you can stick your little pins in that voodoo doll
I’m very sorry, baby, doesn’t look like me at all

But I'm stubborn as those garbage bags that Time cannot decay,
I'm junk but I'm still holding up this little wild bouquet.

I wish you all good evening and see you come the day.

:)

[interim report] indecisive signs

This post is specifically for the friends who have shown a kind interest in my situation of the past three weeks and its denouement today.

The news is that there's no actual news but most definitely some signs. Three or four of us are reviewing those signs right now, trying to see if they indicate anything. Various representations were made on my behalf and I have no way of knowing how they went.

However, this morning I was asked to submit all my documents [passport etc.]. That's all. This is being viewed by some positively but it could equally mean that they want one final look before definitively saying no. I'm being advised not to think this way.

The other move is that the Min will be in town tomorrow and wants to see me at 2. That also could be a good or a bad sign. So the fact that the authorities have been so swift - they promised to give an answer some time today or after today and asked for the docs first thing this morning - well best to just wait until tomorrow and put it out of mind in the meantime.

Another problem which has cropped up is that there is something wrong with my internet connection. Either it is the provider or it is what the Mac says - a problem of the port connection. Hope it's the former but it means I get internet for a few minutes only.

Therefore this has been pretyped and posted quickly. I'll try to come back with a thought for the day later but apologize that I haven't been able to check any mail today.

Plus we've had no hot water in our house for a week and no one knows when it will come back but the good news is that the lift has started working again. Lovely cool 8 degrees today with hail and 25 knot winds.

More later if the internet works.

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

[thought for the day] wednesday evening


At 50, everyone has the face he [or she] deserves.

[George Orwell]

[blàr chùil lodair)] let's reenact it, shall we?


The Quiet Man does some interesting things and one of them is:

I've just been to see a re-enactment of the Battle of Olney Bridge, a battle in the English Civil War.

Well that's lovely, TAOQM but that got me thinking - if you, dear reader, were to re-enact a classic battle, which one would it be? For me it would be Culloden, not through any dislike for the Scots, mind but because I once saw Billy Connolly re-enact the Highland Charge all by himself and thought that was worthy of an accolade.


Overview of the battle

The weather was very poor with a gale driving sleety rain into the faces of the Jacobites. The Duke's forces arrived around mid day and initially deployed in three lines. Upon observing the ground and rebel dispositions, the Duke thinned his army to two lines.

It began with an artillery barrage and the Jacobites were under heavy fire. Although the marshy terrain minimized casualties, the morale of the Jacobites began to suffer. Several clan leaders, angry at the lack of action, pressured Charles to issue the order to charge.

They did eventually do this and even reached British forces and then in a total of about 60 minutes the Duke was victorious.


The Highland Charge

One of the most fearsome aspects of the Scots was this all out charge and:

The government troops had finally worked out bayonet tactics to challenge the dreaded Highland charge, [supposedly learnt from the Blackwatch, the original Highland Regiment in the British Army], and broadsword. The Jacobites lost momentum, wavered, then fled.

It was done this way - as a row of Scots would reach the government troops, each of the loyalists would thrust his shield out front to counter his immediate man but would jab 45 degrees to the right, behind the shield into the Scot diagonally opposite.

It was surprisingly effective.

So what's your battle you're thinking of re-enacting?

[travel] five to try before you die

The danger, coming up to a possibly enforced overseas trip in peak travel season on no money, [just don't want to contemplate that prospect today], is not to be negative.

So when I read this piece on cliched holidays:

Finally, you round a corner, fight off a few more touts in your crap Italian, and there it is: the Leaning Tower of Pisa. Oh, and a large grassy area... Filled with about 10,000 of your closest friends... Each taking their own "hilarious" shot of their Contiki tour buddy pretending to prop up the falling tower.

... after shuddering a little, it seemed best to go the opposite way - go positive. Here are five travel things, IMHO, it's probably essential to do at least once before you get old:

1. Tick off some of the essential places - London, Paris, New York, Rome and their environs;

2. Safari of some kind either in Africa, the north of Australia, the Gobi, wherever;

3. Some sort of spiritual journey - either to the land of your forefathers or to the Holy Land - some sort of pilgrimage in the Chaucer tradition;

4. Some activity based trip, e.g. skiing in Kitzbuhel, hunting in Namibia, whatever;

5. The grand tour or luxury cruise - saved up for, transported to far off lands, all facilities laid on. Just the once, mind. Mine was the Grand Tour of Europe.

One we particularly enjoyed, sharing driving duties, was to hire an open-topped Megane and tear all over Tenerife, particularly at the peak, way above the clouds. That took some beating.

Some other ideas were advanced here.

Our Richard Nixon

Martin Kelly writes:

At times, Simon Heffer is a very nasty and aggressive journalist whose efforts invite easy ridicule.

His hatchet job on Boris Johnson immediately prior to to the London mayoral election conveniently omitted to mention his own role in fomenting one of the greatest crises of Johnson's career, and how Johnson's actions might have shielded him from his due measure of public opprobium.

Yet, in yet another of his tedious attacks on David Cameron's apparent lack of ideological purity - the intensity and regularity of these attacks make one wonder whether Heffer is either an obsessive or just another petty authoritarian who'd have gone far on the Committee of Public Safety, one of life's natural park-keepers - Heffer stumbles across a possible key to unlocking public understanding of Gordon Brown.

With a typical lack of charity, he describes Brown as being, "a terminally wounded, uncharismatic introvert with a selection box of personality defects and you start to see the answer. " Indeed - he's from the same mental mould as Richard Nixon.

One doubts whether he cries in front of a portrait of Nye Bevan in the same way Nixon cried in front of Lincoln's; but just about everything else is there. Pity Heffer couldn't make the connection.

[pretty woman] and the world of asset stripping


If you're not in the world of business, it might puzzle you how the world economy has got to where it is. This article traces the beginnings of Sears through to its current sorry state and in so doing, affords us an insight into the mindset of modern business.

May I humbly suggest, regular readers, that even if this is not your cup of tea, it will reward your patience to read it through because it's not just about finance - it's about people as well:


As the United States spread west to the Pacific coast on its manifest destiny after the Civil War, it was the general store that civilized it. With so many small Western towns popping into existence in the late 19th century, the general stores were able to act as local monopolies, charging monopoly prices.

In 1888, Richard W Sears came upon the idea of selling his wares directly to the public through printed mailers, using the new technology of the railroads to circumvent the established distribution networks of the general stores, in much the same way as Amazon.com [today].

Sears, along with his partner Alvah Roebuck, soon developed a reputation for quality merchandise at reasonable prices [and] it was natural for Sears, Roebuck to shift its focus from mail order to actual retail stores. In 1925, Sears opened its first retail outlet, [and] by the end of the Roaring Twenties the company was opening a new retail outlet in an American city every two days

Looking ahead and projecting the tremendous outpouring of American population from the cities to the still nascent suburbs, the company started an ambitious expansion plan that placed hundreds of new Sears stores right alongside the new Interstate highways It also branched out beyond America's borders.

These were the halcyon days of homogenized American suburban middle-class conformity, when Sears was the number one retailer [leading to] the Sears Tower in Chicago in 1974.

But, as the children of the baby boom grew and moved out [they] demanded more personalized consumer choices.

The "me" generation of the 1970s [now] put their money first at Kmart, later at Wal-Mart; those that were willing to pay up for more trendy fashions did so at more upscale clothiers Macy's and Nordstrom's. Similar market segmentations occurred with the company's once-lucrative appliance businesses.

By 1991 Wal-Mart replaced Sears as America's leading retailer and has never looked back since. Sears, its stores consistently seen as stodgy and old fashioned, its "all for one and one for all" marketing philosophy seen as out of step with the times, lacking in "pop", settled into a graceful, steady decline.

That was the condition of the company in 2004, when it had the misfortune to catch the attention of modern turbo-finance capitalism.

Some people, when they see some poor unfortunate lying on the ground, help the person to their feet. Not modern turbo-finance; it saw Sears lying in the gutter, decided like a vampire that there was no reason why the very lifeblood should not be drained from it.

Edward S "Eddie" Lampert, a 42-year-old former Goldman Sachs bond trader, through his ESL hedge fund, established a 53% majority controlling interest in Kmart, which, in the futile attempt of trying to compete with the larger and more efficient Wal-Mart had bankrupted itself. Lampert closed stores and slashed jobs, restoring the company to operating profitability.

By 2004, Kmart's regular stream of income reached $3 billion [but] Lampert had no intention of plowing this sum back into the company, to modernize its dowdy stores, or, more importantly, its creaky supply and distribution system. He was going to use Kmart's cash stream to [help become] a younger, and richer version of Warren Buffett.

By early 2005, Lampert's ESL hedge fund was folding both Sears and Kmart into a single corporate entity, to be called Sears Holdings.

Overnight, Lampert became one of the titans of American retailing [and] in running perhaps the most fabled, trusted name in American commerce, Lampert gave every indication that he cared very little about the enterprise that others before him had labored over a century to build.

A fictional predator


Same-store, year-over-year sales, the key metric for retail success, have spiraled down month after month, quarter after quarter, even though the first years of Lampert's reign were a time of significant US economic growth.

Retail advertising budgets have been slashed. Funding for maintenance, upkeep and renovation for the stores have been cut way back; at many shopping centers, the Sears store is becoming more the mall eyesore than its anchor.

As for investing the capital to maintain healthy levels of inventory in both stores, so that customers don't find empty shelves when coming in to look for a product and then turn around and never come back, well, that's not all that important anymore, either.

You might think that [there would be] approbation and sanction from Wall Street.

Not true. During the first two years of the Lampert reign, the stock market adored Sears Holdings, up 15% in 2005, 47% in 2006. Had the stock market entered a dimension where bad corporate practices were now good, and incompetent management now adored?

In reality, what has been happening [is] that the operating expenses for both entities have been cut to the bone, in order to free up the billions that Lampert would use for hedge fund speculation at ESL, to generate large returns for the shareholders and keep Sears and Kmart alive long enough to bleed them dry.

Those were the days when the funds had discovered a very simple way to make absolute scads of money [but] things sure changed in 2007. Many of the hedge fund strategies [like] huge heavily leveraged bets on subprime mortgage paper, came up lemons last year. Sears Holdings' profits fell 99% from the third quarter of 2006 to the same period of 2007. The stock is down 50% from its high in April of 2007, as opposed to a less than 5% decline by the RTH retail index.

Lampert's ESL bought an $800 million stake last year in Citigroup, just before the subprime storm made landfall and now the stock went from $51 to $24. Herb Greenberg of the Moneywatch named Lampert as the worst chief executive officer of 2007; considering last year's competition, quite the distinction.

The sorry saga of Sears illustrates just how far distorted American ethics and values have become from exposure to the great credit and money carnival of the past few years. "All that is solid melts into air, all that is holy is profaned," Karl Marx wrote in 1848.

In this case, nobody thought twice, nobody blinked an eye, when Wall Street took a truly unique American institution, Sears, and turned it from a fine, respected American society matron into a common streetwalker reduced to pimping through the night for Eddie Lampert.

Kevin Phillips notes that "By 2004-6, financial services represented 20 to 21 percent of gross domestic product, manufacturing just 12 to 13 percent."

Somewhere along the line, America got the idea that the buck generated from financial services was equivalent, or even superior to the same buck made actually making and sustaining something - such as the great brand Sears once was.

America's ... dream of endless wealth created through little or no actual work, [has met] reality. Very few observers think that Sears can survive much longer, still under withering competitive pressure from Wal-Mart and being bled to death by the likes of Lampert.

The old world charm of shopping where the prices were reasonable and the quality guaranteed - all that seems to have fallen to modern practice. From American diners to chains like Sears - do people really, truly, want to see all that swept away?

Does anyone care any more? Is this the sort of person we now revere?


A few words about Eddy Lampert from Time

No one has more faith in Eddie than Eddie. Which may explain why he's so comfortable leading Wall Street in the new world of high finance, one in which hedge funds like his and giant buyout firms are going toe-to-toe in the arena known as private equity. Lampert is part of the new breed of hedgies who have gone from passive investing to actively buying and managing firms to seek outsize returns.

Here we have a fundamental divide - the modern person concerned only with the online bargain and the catalogue, seeing nothing lost in the scramble for the dollar, living for efficiency and maximization of profit at all costs, the days of plastic and the chip, as against the person operating at a different level who appreciates quality of service, the friendly bank manager's one to one relationship, the passbook, the pleasure of shopping in a historic department store where the pride of the staff is plain to see and the presence of human values instead of pitiless self-interest.

I'm not naive enough to think that there was ever a halcyon era or that Sears were not motivated by profit but I'd argue it was not from profit alone - there was a certain pride in creating something from nothing and then maintaining it - the lure of the name or the plain common sense in shopping there.

Surely there is still a place in the commercial world for old-fashioned values; surely it can even make sound business snese. I'm given to understand that accountants interpret it as goodwill.


Eddie